Deriving the principal components of two
uncorrelated return series
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Suppose the returns on two uncorrelated series are
and
.
It is assumed that we want an analytical solution rather than a numerical
solution (a numerical solution can be found using Nematrian web services
functions that target principal components, i.e. MnPrincipalComponents,
MnPrincipalComponentsSizes
and MnPrincipalComponentsWeights).
For a two series problem, if the covariance matrix is
then
the principal components are associated with the eigenvectors and eigenvalues
of the covariance matrix, i.e. with values of
that
satisfy, for some vector
the
equation
.
The
therefore
satisfy the following equations:


This means that
and
,
i.e. (since
for
a covariance matrix):

In this instance, the two series are uncorrelated and therefore
.
The quadratic then becomes
,
i.e.
or
.
The (population) covariance matrix is
,
which thus has two eigenvalues
and
and
associated eigenvectors which are of the form
and
respectively
for arbitrary
and
.
The first principal component is associated with whichever of
and
is
the larger, and the second principal component with the other one.
If we want principal components that are orthonormal return
series and portfolio exposures that correspond to these principal components
then the portfolio exposures must have
for
and
2, which means in this instance that
and
.
If we choose
then
the resulting return series are merely de-meaned versions of the original
series, i.e. are are
and
or
vice-versa depending on whether
or
.